{"data":{"id":15450,"title":"Showdown: \"Scarcity Theory\"","rsi_url":"https:\/\/robertsspaceindustries.com\/comm-link\/spectrum-dispatch\/15450-Showdown-Scarcity-Theory","api_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-links\/15450","api_public_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/comm-links\/15450","channel":"Undefined","category":"Undefined","series":"News Update","images":[{"id":4593,"name":"Showdown_FI3.jpg","rsi_url":"https:\/\/robertsspaceindustries.com\/media\/giq0zrj0fs26sr\/source\/Showdown_FI3.jpg","alt":"","size":617227,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","last_modified":"2016-02-02T21:46:47+00:00","api_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-link-images\/4593","similar_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-link-images\/4593\/similar"},{"id":26463,"name":"source.jpg","rsi_url":"https:\/\/media.robertsspaceindustries.com\/weozjmuuh3hwh\/source.jpg","alt":"","size":843046,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","last_modified":"2019-09-19T15:49:32+00:00","api_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-link-images\/26463","similar_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-link-images\/26463\/similar"},{"id":27892,"name":"source.jpg","rsi_url":"https:\/\/media.robertsspaceindustries.com\/w3o9r4zgppm77\/source.jpg","alt":"","size":900916,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","last_modified":"2021-09-06T14:48:40+00:00","api_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-link-images\/27892","similar_url":"https:\/\/api.star-citizen.wiki\/api\/comm-link-images\/27892\/similar"}],"images_count":8,"translations":{"en_EN":"SHOWDOWN!\nAuto-Transcript for S&P and NFSC Submission\n\nEP:60:56 : \u201cScarcity Theory \u2026\u201d\nERIA QUINT: Hello and welcome to Showdown, your source for balanced debate on some of the Empire\u2019s biggest and most critical issues. I\u2019m your host and moderator, Eria Quint.\n\nSince Nicholas Croshaw\u2019s first interstellar jump, Humanity\u2019s Powers-That-Be have continually pursued a policy of expansion farther and deeper into the stars. With well over three dozen systems under its control, the Empire still spends a considerable amount of credits and resources on exploratory missions each year. The question we put forth today: should the government continue to push a policy of star acquisition or should we focus our efforts inwards on the systems that we already have? My two guests hold differing opinions on which path will offer the brightest future to our species.\n\nAllow me to first introduce Dr. Janelle Taglion, author of \u201cScarcity Theory,\u201d a recent paper published in the Journal of Imperial Economics that proposes that the Empire has expanded as far as it feasibly can while continuing to sustain itself. Welcome, Dr. Taglion.\n\nDR. TAGLION: I\u2019m delighted to be here, Eria.\n\nERIA QUINT: Also with us today is lead researcher at the Imperial Cartography Center and expansion advocate Darcy Lizu. Good to have you here.\n\nDARCY LIZU: Please, call me Darcy. Real pleasure to be on the show. Thrilled to have a chance to discuss this important issue with you and Dr. Taglion.\n\nERIA QUINT: Then let\u2019s get right to it, shall we? Dr. Taglion, for those out there who haven\u2019t yet had a chance to read your work, could you summarize your theory and explain why you think the UEE may be on the cusp of over-extending itself?\n\nDR. TAGLION: Glad to. It all comes down to resource availability and management. If we look back in our species\u2019 history, back before we had multiple systems to expand into, back when we were exclusively living in Sol, there was real concern about scarcity of resources. At the time, overpopulation was threatening the very existence of our species and it was that crisis which lead to the settlement of Luna and the terraforming of Mars, both of which were major technological leaps forward. Even generations earlier, the risk of running out of fossil fuels led to unprecedented sparks of ingenuity. We see this repeated over and over. Competition equals creation. Now look at us today. Thanks to jump drives and scanners, we believe that we will always be able to find new systems. We\u2019ve grown complacent. If you look at our technology advancement curve it has almost flattened in the last few centuries. Major innovations like the synthworld project seem to wither on the vine.\n\nERIA QUINT: And you believe continued expansion will lead to the collapse of the Empire?\n\nDR. TAGLION: It\u2019s the only conclusion to draw if you take the economic patterns that have evolved and trace the model forward at this current rate of growth. I am afraid that if this modern manifest destiny that has sought to expand our Empire persists, it will lead to stagnation, which will lead to instability and eventually collapse.\n\nERIA QUINT: I can see that you are eager to respond, Darcy. What do you think of Dr. Taglion\u2019s theory?\n\nDARCY LIZU: First of all, let me say that Dr. Taglion presents some very interesting correlations, but as we are reminded over and over, correlation is not necessarily causation. To just dismiss offhand the boon to Humanity that our continual expansion has been paints a very lopsided view of our development. What we learn about the universe and ourselves as we travel to new systems is invaluable. Discovery, exploration, knowledge. These are the core values that drive us as a people. Not competition and scrabbling for resources.\n\nDR. TAGLION: Why do people explore? To find more resources. But our exploration tech has reached the point where it is good enough to sustain itself for centuries more without major development. The sheer fact that the ICC operates ships that are nearly identical to the ones used one hundred years ago should be indication of this alone. Where is the advancement that\u2019s on the same level as our transition from boat to plane? From sky to space? We have grown complacent, and it is dangerous. Leave the frontier where it is and let the Empire turn its focus inward. Let us try to make the worlds we do have better worlds, instead of investing billions in terraforming new ones.\n\nDARCY LIZU: What you are talking about goes against our natural biological imperatives. As living organisms, it is in our best interest to spread out as far and wide as possible. Imagine what would have happened if we had only inhabited one system when the Vanduul found us. We would be extinct. This year alone, we have discovered two new naturally occurring metallic crystals that we never knew existed. Not to mention a new species of algae and a small blue beetle that hums a distinct melody, both of which are currently being researched for bio-engineering applications. These discoveries that you are dismissing may lead to unimaginable breakthroughs.\n\nERIA QUINT: What about the argument that Dr. Taglion put forth that one of the most limited resources of all is the Empire\u2019s ability to properly govern itself?\n\nDARCY LIZU: I\u2019m no political expert, but the sheer fact that we have gotten where we are today and still have a functioning government implies that we have the capability to continue to adapt as we add more systems. And I will note that just because we discover a system does not automatically imply that we will incorporate it into the Empire. How many systems have been left unclaimed?\n\nDR. TAGLION: But by that line of reasoning, couldn\u2019t you argue that some of the systems that are currently part of the UEE would have been better left unclaimed as well?\n\nERIA QUINT: All right, I am going to have to hold us right there so we can take a quick break. When we return, we dive further into the question of continued UEE expansion and how does the current goal of reclaiming Vanduul systems factors in. Plus, we will hear from a former explorer who has given up searching for new jump points after reading Dr. Taglion\u2019s paper. All coming up next on Showdown.","de_DE":"SHOWDOWN!\nAutomatische \u00dcbertragung f\u00fcr S&P- und NFSC-Einreichungen\n\nEP:60:56 : \"Knappheitstheorie....\"\nERIA QUINT: Hallo und willkommen bei Showdown, Ihrer Quelle f\u00fcr eine ausgewogene Debatte \u00fcber einige der gr\u00f6\u00dften und kritischsten Themen des Imperiums. Ich bin Ihre Gastgeberin und Moderatorin, Eria Quint.\n\nSeit Nicholas Croshaws erstem interstellaren Sprung haben Humanity's Powers-That-Be kontinuierlich eine Politik der Expansion weiter und tiefer in die Sterne verfolgt. Mit weit \u00fcber drei Dutzend Systemen unter seiner Kontrolle gibt das Imperium immer noch jedes Jahr eine betr\u00e4chtliche Menge an Krediten und Ressourcen f\u00fcr Erkundungsmissionen aus. Die Frage, die wir heute stellen: Soll die Regierung weiterhin eine Politik der Sternakquisition vorantreiben oder sollten wir unsere Bem\u00fchungen nach innen auf die Systeme konzentrieren, die wir bereits haben? Meine beiden G\u00e4ste sind unterschiedlicher Meinung dar\u00fcber, welcher Weg unserer Spezies die beste Zukunft bieten wird.\n\nGestatten Sie mir zun\u00e4chst, Dr. Janelle Taglion, Autorin der \"Knappheitstheorie\", vorzustellen, einem k\u00fcrzlich im Journal of Imperial Economics ver\u00f6ffentlichten Papier, das vorschl\u00e4gt, dass das Imperium so weit wie m\u00f6glich expandiert ist, w\u00e4hrend es sich weiterhin selbst tr\u00e4gt. Willkommen, Dr. Taglion.\n\nDR. TAGLION: Ich freue mich, hier zu sein, Eria.\n\nERIA QUINT: Auch heute ist er bei uns Lead Researcher am Imperial Cartography Center und Expansionsanwalt Darcy Lizu. Sch\u00f6n, dass du hier bist.\n\nDARCY LIZU: Bitte, nennen Sie mich Darcy. Es ist ein echtes Vergn\u00fcgen, auf der Show zu sein. Ich freue mich \u00fcber die Gelegenheit, dieses wichtige Thema mit Ihnen und Dr. Taglion zu besprechen.\n\nERIA QUINT: Dann lassen Sie uns gleich zur Sache kommen, oder? Dr. Taglion, f\u00fcr diejenigen da drau\u00dfen, die noch keine Gelegenheit hatten, Ihre Arbeit zu lesen, k\u00f6nnten Sie Ihre Theorie zusammenfassen und erkl\u00e4ren, warum Sie denken, dass die UEE an der Schwelle zur \u00dcberforderung steht?\n\nDR. TAGLION: Sch\u00f6n zu wissen. Es kommt auf die Verf\u00fcgbarkeit und das Management der Ressourcen an. Wenn wir in die Geschichte unserer Spezies zur\u00fcckblicken, bevor wir mehrere Systeme hatten, in die wir expandieren konnten, als wir ausschlie\u00dflich in Sol lebten, gab es echte Bedenken hinsichtlich der Ressourcenknappheit. Damals bedrohte die \u00dcberbev\u00f6lkerung die Existenz unserer Spezies, und diese Krise f\u00fchrte zur Besiedlung von Luna und zur Terraform des Mars, die beide gro\u00dfe technologische Fortschritte bedeuteten. Schon Generationen zuvor f\u00fchrte die Gefahr des Auslaufens fossiler Brennstoffe zu beispiellosen Einfallsreichtumsfunken. Wir sehen, wie sich das immer wieder wiederholt. Wettbewerb ist gleich Kreation. Jetzt schau uns heute an. Dank Sprungantrieben und Scannern glauben wir, dass wir immer wieder neue Systeme finden werden. Wir sind selbstgef\u00e4llig geworden. Wenn Sie sich unsere Kurve des technologischen Fortschritts ansehen, hat sie sich in den letzten Jahrhunderten fast verflacht. Wichtige Innovationen wie das synthworld-Projekt scheinen am Weinstock zu verk\u00fcmmern.\n\nERIA QUINT: Und Sie glauben, dass die weitere Expansion zum Zusammenbruch des Imperiums f\u00fchren wird?\n\nDR. TAGLION: Es ist die einzige Schlussfolgerung, die man ziehen kann, wenn man die wirtschaftlichen Muster, die sich entwickelt haben, nimmt und das Modell bei dieser aktuellen Wachstumsrate vorw\u00e4rts verfolgt. Ich f\u00fcrchte, wenn dieses moderne, manifeste Schicksal, das versucht hat, unser Imperium zu erweitern, fortbesteht, wird es zu Stagnation f\u00fchren, was zu Instabilit\u00e4t und schlie\u00dflich zum Zusammenbruch f\u00fchren wird.\n\nERIA QUINT: Ich kann sehen, dass du begierig darauf bist zu antworten, Darcy. Was halten Sie von Dr. Taglions Theorie?\n\nDARCY LIZU: Zun\u00e4chst m\u00f6chte ich sagen, dass Dr. Taglion einige sehr interessante Zusammenh\u00e4nge aufzeigt, aber wie wir immer wieder in Erinnerung gerufen werden, ist Korrelation nicht unbedingt Kausalit\u00e4t. Den Segen f\u00fcr die Menschheit, dass unsere kontinuierliche Expansion stattgefunden hat, einfach von der Hand zu weisen, ist ein sehr einseitiger Blick auf unsere Entwicklung. Was wir auf unserer Reise zu neuen Systemen \u00fcber das Universum und uns selbst erfahren, ist von unsch\u00e4tzbarem Wert. Entdeckung, Erforschung, Wissen. Das sind die Kernwerte, die uns als Menschen antreiben. Nicht Wettbewerb und Ressourcensuche.\n\nDR. TAGLION: Warum erforschen Menschen? Um mehr Ressourcen zu finden. Aber unsere Erkundungstechnologie ist an einem Punkt angelangt, an dem sie gut genug ist, um sich \u00fcber Jahrhunderte hinweg ohne gr\u00f6\u00dfere Entwicklung zu erhalten. Die schiere Tatsache, dass der ICC Schiffe betreibt, die fast identisch sind mit denen, die vor hundert Jahren eingesetzt wurden, sollte allein schon darauf hinweisen. Wo ist der Fortschritt, der auf der gleichen Ebene liegt wie unser \u00dcbergang vom Boot zum Flugzeug? Vom Himmel in den Weltraum? Wir sind selbstgef\u00e4llig geworden, und es ist gef\u00e4hrlich. Verlasse die Grenze, wo sie ist, und lass das Imperium seinen Fokus nach innen richten. Lasst uns versuchen, die Welten, die wir haben, zu besseren Welten zu machen, anstatt Milliarden in das Terraforming neuer Welten zu investieren.\n\nDARCY LIZU: Wovon Sie sprechen, verst\u00f6\u00dft gegen unsere nat\u00fcrlichen biologischen Gebote. Als lebende Organismen liegt es in unserem Interesse, sich so weit und breit wie m\u00f6glich zu verbreiten. Stell dir vor, was passiert w\u00e4re, wenn wir nur ein System bewohnt h\u00e4tten, als die Vanduul uns fanden. Wir w\u00e4ren ausgestorben. Allein in diesem Jahr haben wir zwei neue, nat\u00fcrlich vorkommende Metallkristalle entdeckt, von denen wir nicht wussten, dass sie existieren. Ganz zu schweigen von einer neuen Algenart und einem kleinen blauen K\u00e4fer, der eine eigene Melodie summt, die beide derzeit f\u00fcr biotechnologische Anwendungen erforscht werden. Diese Entdeckungen, die Sie ablehnen, k\u00f6nnen zu unvorstellbaren Durchbr\u00fcchen f\u00fchren.\n\nERIA QUINT: Was ist mit dem Argument, das Dr. Taglion vorgebracht hat, dass eine der begrenztesten Ressourcen von allen die F\u00e4higkeit des Imperiums ist, sich selbst richtig zu regieren?\n\nDARCY LIZU: Ich bin kein politischer Experte, aber die schiere Tatsache, dass wir dort angekommen sind, wo wir heute sind und immer noch eine funktionierende Regierung haben, impliziert, dass wir die F\u00e4higkeit haben, uns weiter anzupassen, wenn wir mehr Systeme hinzuf\u00fcgen. Und ich werde feststellen, dass, nur weil wir ein System entdecken, dies nicht automatisch bedeutet, dass wir es in das Imperium integrieren werden. Wie viele Systeme sind nicht in Anspruch genommen worden?\n\nDR. TAGLION: Aber k\u00f6nnten Sie mit dieser Argumentationslinie nicht argumentieren, dass einige der Systeme, die derzeit Teil der UEE sind, besser auch nicht in Anspruch genommen worden w\u00e4ren?\n\nERIA QUINT: In Ordnung, ich muss uns genau da festhalten, damit wir eine kurze Pause machen k\u00f6nnen. Wenn wir zur\u00fcckkehren, tauchen wir weiter in die Frage der weiteren UEE-Expansion ein und wie wirkt sich das aktuelle Ziel der R\u00fcckgewinnung von Vanduul-Systemen aus. Au\u00dferdem werden wir von einem ehemaligen Entdecker h\u00f6ren, der die Suche nach neuen Sprungmarken aufgegeben hat, nachdem er Dr. Taglions Artikel gelesen hat. Alle kommen als n\u00e4chstes beim Showdown.","zh_CN":"SHOWDOWN!\nAuto-Transcript for S&P and NFSC Submission\n\nEP:60:56 : \u201cScarcity Theory \u2026\u201d\nERIA QUINT: Hello and welcome to Showdown, your source for balanced debate on some of the Empire\u2019s biggest and most critical issues. I\u2019m your host and moderator, Eria Quint.\n\nSince Nicholas Croshaw\u2019s first interstellar jump, Humanity\u2019s Powers-That-Be have continually pursued a policy of expansion farther and deeper into the stars. With well over three dozen systems under its control, the Empire still spends a considerable amount of credits and resources on exploratory missions each year. The question we put forth today: should the government continue to push a policy of star acquisition or should we focus our efforts inwards on the systems that we already have? My two guests hold differing opinions on which path will offer the brightest future to our species.\n\nAllow me to first introduce Dr. Janelle Taglion, author of \u201cScarcity Theory,\u201d a recent paper published in the Journal of Imperial Economics that proposes that the Empire has expanded as far as it feasibly can while continuing to sustain itself. Welcome, Dr. Taglion.\n\nDR. TAGLION: I\u2019m delighted to be here, Eria.\n\nERIA QUINT: Also with us today is lead researcher at the Imperial Cartography Center and expansion advocate Darcy Lizu. Good to have you here.\n\nDARCY LIZU: Please, call me Darcy. Real pleasure to be on the show. Thrilled to have a chance to discuss this important issue with you and Dr. Taglion.\n\nERIA QUINT: Then let\u2019s get right to it, shall we? Dr. Taglion, for those out there who haven\u2019t yet had a chance to read your work, could you summarize your theory and explain why you think the UEE may be on the cusp of over-extending itself?\n\nDR. TAGLION: Glad to. It all comes down to resource availability and management. If we look back in our species\u2019 history, back before we had multiple systems to expand into, back when we were exclusively living in Sol, there was real concern about scarcity of resources. At the time, overpopulation was threatening the very existence of our species and it was that crisis which lead to the settlement of Luna and the terraforming of Mars, both of which were major technological leaps forward. Even generations earlier, the risk of running out of fossil fuels led to unprecedented sparks of ingenuity. We see this repeated over and over. Competition equals creation. Now look at us today. Thanks to jump drives and scanners, we believe that we will always be able to find new systems. We\u2019ve grown complacent. If you look at our technology advancement curve it has almost flattened in the last few centuries. Major innovations like the synthworld project seem to wither on the vine.\n\nERIA QUINT: And you believe continued expansion will lead to the collapse of the Empire?\n\nDR. TAGLION: It\u2019s the only conclusion to draw if you take the economic patterns that have evolved and trace the model forward at this current rate of growth. I am afraid that if this modern manifest destiny that has sought to expand our Empire persists, it will lead to stagnation, which will lead to instability and eventually collapse.\n\nERIA QUINT: I can see that you are eager to respond, Darcy. What do you think of Dr. Taglion\u2019s theory?\n\nDARCY LIZU: First of all, let me say that Dr. Taglion presents some very interesting correlations, but as we are reminded over and over, correlation is not necessarily causation. To just dismiss offhand the boon to Humanity that our continual expansion has been paints a very lopsided view of our development. What we learn about the universe and ourselves as we travel to new systems is invaluable. Discovery, exploration, knowledge. These are the core values that drive us as a people. Not competition and scrabbling for resources.\n\nDR. TAGLION: Why do people explore? To find more resources. But our exploration tech has reached the point where it is good enough to sustain itself for centuries more without major development. The sheer fact that the ICC operates ships that are nearly identical to the ones used one hundred years ago should be indication of this alone. Where is the advancement that\u2019s on the same level as our transition from boat to plane? From sky to space? We have grown complacent, and it is dangerous. Leave the frontier where it is and let the Empire turn its focus inward. Let us try to make the worlds we do have better worlds, instead of investing billions in terraforming new ones.\n\nDARCY LIZU: What you are talking about goes against our natural biological imperatives. As living organisms, it is in our best interest to spread out as far and wide as possible. Imagine what would have happened if we had only inhabited one system when the Vanduul found us. We would be extinct. This year alone, we have discovered two new naturally occurring metallic crystals that we never knew existed. Not to mention a new species of algae and a small blue beetle that hums a distinct melody, both of which are currently being researched for bio-engineering applications. These discoveries that you are dismissing may lead to unimaginable breakthroughs.\n\nERIA QUINT: What about the argument that Dr. Taglion put forth that one of the most limited resources of all is the Empire\u2019s ability to properly govern itself?\n\nDARCY LIZU: I\u2019m no political expert, but the sheer fact that we have gotten where we are today and still have a functioning government implies that we have the capability to continue to adapt as we add more systems. And I will note that just because we discover a system does not automatically imply that we will incorporate it into the Empire. How many systems have been left unclaimed?\n\nDR. TAGLION: But by that line of reasoning, couldn\u2019t you argue that some of the systems that are currently part of the UEE would have been better left unclaimed as well?\n\nERIA QUINT: All right, I am going to have to hold us right there so we can take a quick break. When we return, we dive further into the question of continued UEE expansion and how does the current goal of reclaiming Vanduul systems factors in. Plus, we will hear from a former explorer who has given up searching for new jump points after reading Dr. Taglion\u2019s paper. All coming up next on Showdown."},"links_count":0,"comment_count":66,"created_at":"2016-08-09T00:00:00+00:00","created_at_human":"9 years ago"},"meta":{"processed_at":"2026-05-07 23:11:26","valid_relations":["images","links"],"prev_id":15449,"next_id":15451}}